000 01330nam a2200169Ia 4500
008 220216s9999 xx 000 0 und d
100 _aDiffenbaugh Noah S
245 0 _aChanges in ecologically critical terrestrial climate conditions
260 _bScience
_c2013
300 _a486-492
520 _aTerrestrial ecosystems have encountered substantial warming over the past century, with temperatures increasing about twice as rapidly over the oceans. Here, we review the likehood of continued changes in terrestrial climate, including analysis of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project global climate model ensemble. Inertia toward continued emissions creates potential 21st-century global warming that is comparable in magnitude to that of the largest global changes in the past 65 million years but is orders of magnitude more rapid. The rate of warming implies a velocity of climate change and required range shifts of up to several kilometers per year, raising the prospect of daunting challenges for ecosystems, especially in the context of extensive land use and degradation,cahnges in frequency and severity of extreme events, and interactions with other stresses.
650 _aClimate change
650 _aCMIP
650 _aRepresentative Concentration Pathways
700 _aField Christopher B
942 _cJS
999 _c55313
_d55313